| Chicago PMI |
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Released On 7/31/2012 9:45:00 AM For Jul, 2012
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Prior | Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual |
| Business Barometer Index - Level | 52.9 | 52.5 | 49.0 to 54.3 | 53.7 |
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Highlights
Business is slow but it's still growing in the Chicago area based on MNI's Chicago report where the headline composite is at 53.7, up 8 tenths from June to indicate a slightly faster rate of monthly growth. The new orders index rose 1 full point to 52.9 while backlogs, at 52.8, show a monthly gain following two months of contraction. Orders coming in and orders in the pipeline secure what should be respectable overall growth in the months ahead.
Other readings include slowing growth in production, which at 54.5 is still pretty solid. Inventories continue to accumulate which points to business confidence in the outlook as does continued growth, though slowing growth, in employment. This report right now isn't helping the Dow which is moving to opening lows, but it does offer positive signals and suggests that summer slowing in the overall economy may be limited.
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Market Consensus before announcement
The Chicago PMI edged up in June to 52.9 from 52.7 the prior month. But the weakest reading for new orders since September 2009 pointed to slowing conditions for Chicago-area businesses. The 51.9 new orders reading in June's MNI Chicago report was still over 50 to indicate growth relative to May but only marginal growth which contrasts with robust growth, including a reading near 70, as recently as February.
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Definition
The Institute For Supply Management - Chicago compiles a survey and a composite diffusion index of business conditions in the Chicago area. The survey is now conducted by Market News International since the October of 2011. Manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms both are surveyed. Hence, it is not directly comparable to pure manufacturing surveys. Readings above 50 percent indicate an expanding business sector.
Why Investors Care
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The ISM-Chicago survey (traditionally and informally called the Chicago PMI) registers manufacturing and non- manufacturing activity in the Chicago region. Investors care about this indicator because the Chicago region somewhat mirrors the nation in its distribution of manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity. Many like to compare the Chicago-PMI with following business day's ISM manufacturing index but they do not always move in tandem since the national ISM is only for manufacturing.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
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 Important Legal Notice: Econoday has attempted to verify the information contained in this calendar. However, any aspect of such info may change without notice. Econoday does not provide investment advice, and does not represent that any of the information or related analysis is accurate or complete at any time. Legal Notices © 1998-2012 Econoday, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Actual Data Source: Haver Analytics
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