| S&P Case-Shiller HPI |
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Released On 1/31/2012 9:00:00 AM For Nov, 2011
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Prior | Prior Revised | Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual |
| 20-city, SA - M/M | -0.6 % | -0.7 % | -0.4 % | -1.1 % to 0.0 % | -0.7 % | | 20-city, NSA - M/M | -1.2 % | -1.3 % | | | -1.3 % | | 20-city, NSA - Yr/Yr | -3.4 % | | | | -3.7 % |
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Highlights
Home prices are continuing to erode with no meaningful signs of a turnaround in the offing. This is the conclusion of the Case-Shiller report where in November, for the third straight month, the composite-20 index fell a sizable 0.7 percent (October revised). All but 3 of the 20 cities show monthly contraction. The year-on-year rate of contraction for the composite-20 deepened slightly to minus 3.7 percent from minus 3.4 percent.
Unadjusted data are focused on in this report and tell a story of greater monthly weakness, greater weakness tied to weather effects. The unadjusted composite-20 index is down 1.3 percent for a second straight month (October revised) with 19 of 20 cities showing declines. Year-on-year, the unadjusted rates in November and October are the same as the adjusted rates.
Falling prices are a major factor that's helping to lift housing sales from depressed levels. But at the same time, lower prices are a major negative for existing home owners, trapping many with negative equity and limiting resale options.
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Market Consensus before announcement
The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index (SA) fell 0.6 percent in October following a revised 0.7 percent decline in September and a 0.4 percent decline in August. On an unadjusted basis, contraction steepened from a revised 0.7 percent in September to 1.2 percent in October. The deeper monthly contraction here likely reflects, at least in part, the dampening effects on demand from seasonally colder weather. In some parts of the U.S., atypically early snow storms in October likely hurt demand.
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Definition
The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index tracks monthly changes in the value of residential real estate in 20 metropolitan regions across the U.S. The composite indexes and the regional indexes are seen by the markets as measuring changes in existing home prices and are based on single-family home re-sales. The key composite series tracked are for the expanded 20-city composite indexes. The original series (still available) covered 10 cities. A national index is published quarterly. The indexes are based on single-family dwellings with two or more sales transactions. Condominiums and co-ops are excluded as is new construction. The data are compiled for S&P by Fiserv, Inc. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are published monthly on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 AM ET. The latest data are reported with a two-month lag. For example data released in January 2008 were for November 2007.
Why Investors Care
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The Case-Shiller Home Price Index is based on repeat transactions. That is, appreciation or depreciation is for same houses resold. This index is probably the best measure of changes in home prices. While it covers the gamut of types of houses sold, it is limited to metropolitan areas.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
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 Important Legal Notice: Econoday has attempted to verify the information contained in this calendar. However, any aspect of such info may change without notice. Econoday does not provide investment advice, and does not represent that any of the information or related analysis is accurate or complete at any time. Legal Notices © 1998-2012 Econoday, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Actual Data Source: Haver Analytics
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